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  1. #1

    Does different ways of opening chest changes the reward?

    I have been wondering if different ways of opening chance chest affect the results? Like we should press open 1 10 times instead of opening all 11 at once

  2. #2

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    Yes, it does. You lose out on one chest and 5 FBAs in this case.

    You may want to post questions like this in the question and answer thread next time.
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  3. #3

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    If I flip 11 coins at once... do 11 freshmen fail intro to Stat? Marilyn Vos Savant, Monty Hall us...
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  4. #4

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    This question has merit, in the fact that I too question the possibility that opening 11 chests at once, yields different results than opening one at a time.
    Given that after opening approximately 99 chests using gems and the 11 chests button, got nothing but 2* and 2 3* armors. I then opened 1 single chest, got the new epic. Proceeded to open another 22 chests using the 11 button and got 2* fodder again. This is nowhere near conclusive data, but it does give me the suspicion that there is a difference.

  5. #5
    busteroaf's Avatar
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    So... Reward the suckers with fusion boosts, while one-at-a-timers get the epics? That would have merit except there are loads of "I opened 11 and got _____ all over Line". And many with 2+ epics. I think it's just as random for those that buy chests one at a time.

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  6. #6

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    Quote Originally Posted by busteroaf View Post
    So... Reward the suckers with fusion boosts, while one-at-a-timers get the epics? That would have merit except there are loads of "I opened 11 and got _____ all over Line". And many with 2+ epics. I think it's just as random for those that buy chests one at a time.
    Random is random. But on line i tend to think people buy WAY more chests than they let on

  7. #7

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    Quote Originally Posted by Hildigam View Post
    Random is random. But on line i tend to think people buy WAY more chests than they let on
    A lot of people don't seem to understand what random actually means.

    Distributions aren't even, and having a person open 1 chest and get an Epic, and having someone open 150 and not get one is completely consistent with random behavior.

    This isn't like some video games where each one you open and don't get something good, the odds go up. It's like playing a slot machine.

  8. #8

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    Quote Originally Posted by Synovia View Post
    A lot of people don't seem to understand what random actually means.

    Distributions aren't even, and having a person open 1 chest and get an Epic, and having someone open 150 and not get one is completely consistent with random behavior.

    This isn't like some video games where each one you open and don't get something good, the odds go up. It's like playing a slot machine.
    I concur. It isn't like cards where there is a stack that depletes and a determined number of aces you can get. It just isn't the way it works.

    Sometimes you roll a 20, sometimes you roll a 1. The thing people are more worried about is the fact that the odds are so stacked against you it seems unfair.

    Guess what? It is. Otherwise there wouldn't be people spending so much money

  9. #9

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    This is called Variable Ratio distribution.

    The same mechanic used in Slot machines.

  10. #10

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    Quote Originally Posted by Natsu View Post
    I have been wondering if different ways of opening chance chest affect the results? Like we should press open 1 10 times instead of opening all 11 at once
    Yes. Exactly.

  11. #11
    Quote Originally Posted by dragonx254 View Post
    This is called Variable Ratio distribution.

    The same mechanic used in Slot machines.

    Fun Fact: Slot machines can and do have separate pay tables based on the amount you bet. Usually they are fairly equivalent but Casinos (and Gree) COULD have separate percentages depending on which market segment they wanted to appeal to.

    The original question is legitimate. It's probably the exact same percentage but no one will ever know for sure.

  12. #12

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    Quote Originally Posted by Buttersheep View Post
    Fun Fact: Slot machines can and do have separate pay tables based on the amount you bet. Usually they are fairly equivalent but Casinos (and Gree) COULD have separate percentages depending on which market segment they wanted to appeal to.

    The original question is legitimate. It's probably the exact same percentage but no one will ever know for sure.
    I concur. Generally, people who open 11 chests at once are already hooked. They will keep speding. However, if somebody opens 1 or 2, then they don't feel like they are big buyers. Once they get an epic, they will buy an eleven deal, and have spent more gems. I am sure if you look at statistics, people that open 11 are more likely to keep spending. Since they are more likely to spend until they get it: reduced chance=more chests. A lot of people will spend unti they get it just to be competitive.

  13. #13

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    Well, I'm convinced. 11 keys = ** only

    One box at a time in the following order:
    SG
    SG+
    **
    Swamp
    **
    Combust
    Beastmaster reg

  14. #14

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    Quote Originally Posted by Eunuchorn View Post
    Well, I'm convinced. 11 keys = ** only

    One box at a time in the following order:
    SG
    SG+
    **
    Swamp
    **
    Combust
    Beastmaster reg
    I did a mix of 11 chests at once and single chests. Opened about 4 11 chest combos and got one epic (moontide reg), 2 boilerplates and a couple sky guardian plus. The rest was junk

    Opened about ten chests one by one and got nothing of value. Mind u the amount of single chests I opened is far less than the combo chests.

    It all comes down to plain stupid luck IMO

    Edit: guild mate opened 11 chests at once and got beast master+, another guildies got two epics with his 11. Most of my guild got squat tho
    Last edited by Sarn; 10-01-2013 at 03:25 PM.

  15. #15

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    I've since gotten 2x BM & mael opening one at a time

    ~600 gems on individual chests.

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