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10-01-2013, 03:22 AM #1
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Does different ways of opening chest changes the reward?
I have been wondering if different ways of opening chance chest affect the results? Like we should press open 1 10 times instead of opening all 11 at once
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10-01-2013, 03:25 AM #2
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Yes, it does. You lose out on one chest and 5 FBAs in this case.
You may want to post questions like this in the question and answer thread next time.Knights and Dragons iOS.
Guild: Rainbow Room
Main knight's named Aiden.
My friend's list is currently full, i won't be able to accept new players at the moment.
Cheers, my fellow knights!
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10-01-2013, 04:28 AM #3
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If I flip 11 coins at once... do 11 freshmen fail intro to Stat? Marilyn Vos Savant, Monty Hall us...
Bears At Large (iOS) Beartator (recruiting for solid Guild Warriors!) - use LINE
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10-01-2013, 06:40 AM #4
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This question has merit, in the fact that I too question the possibility that opening 11 chests at once, yields different results than opening one at a time.
Given that after opening approximately 99 chests using gems and the 11 chests button, got nothing but 2* and 2 3* armors. I then opened 1 single chest, got the new epic. Proceeded to open another 22 chests using the 11 button and got 2* fodder again. This is nowhere near conclusive data, but it does give me the suspicion that there is a difference.
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10-01-2013, 06:48 AM #5
So... Reward the suckers with fusion boosts, while one-at-a-timers get the epics? That would have merit except there are loads of "I opened 11 and got _____ all over Line". And many with 2+ epics. I think it's just as random for those that buy chests one at a time.
Busteroaf
Retired
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10-01-2013, 07:27 AM #6
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10-01-2013, 07:37 AM #7
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A lot of people don't seem to understand what random actually means.
Distributions aren't even, and having a person open 1 chest and get an Epic, and having someone open 150 and not get one is completely consistent with random behavior.
This isn't like some video games where each one you open and don't get something good, the odds go up. It's like playing a slot machine.
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10-01-2013, 07:41 AM #8
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I concur. It isn't like cards where there is a stack that depletes and a determined number of aces you can get. It just isn't the way it works.
Sometimes you roll a 20, sometimes you roll a 1. The thing people are more worried about is the fact that the odds are so stacked against you it seems unfair.
Guess what? It is. Otherwise there wouldn't be people spending so much money
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10-01-2013, 09:42 AM #9
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This is called Variable Ratio distribution.
The same mechanic used in Slot machines.
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10-01-2013, 09:45 AM #10
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10-01-2013, 02:32 PM #11
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Fun Fact: Slot machines can and do have separate pay tables based on the amount you bet. Usually they are fairly equivalent but Casinos (and Gree) COULD have separate percentages depending on which market segment they wanted to appeal to.
The original question is legitimate. It's probably the exact same percentage but no one will ever know for sure.
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10-01-2013, 02:43 PM #12
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I concur. Generally, people who open 11 chests at once are already hooked. They will keep speding. However, if somebody opens 1 or 2, then they don't feel like they are big buyers. Once they get an epic, they will buy an eleven deal, and have spent more gems. I am sure if you look at statistics, people that open 11 are more likely to keep spending. Since they are more likely to spend until they get it: reduced chance=more chests. A lot of people will spend unti they get it just to be competitive.
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10-01-2013, 03:15 PM #13
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Well, I'm convinced. 11 keys = ** only
One box at a time in the following order:
SG
SG+
**
Swamp
**
Combust
Beastmaster reg
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10-01-2013, 03:23 PM #14
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I did a mix of 11 chests at once and single chests. Opened about 4 11 chest combos and got one epic (moontide reg), 2 boilerplates and a couple sky guardian plus. The rest was junk
Opened about ten chests one by one and got nothing of value. Mind u the amount of single chests I opened is far less than the combo chests.
It all comes down to plain stupid luck IMO
Edit: guild mate opened 11 chests at once and got beast master+, another guildies got two epics with his 11. Most of my guild got squat thoLast edited by Sarn; 10-01-2013 at 03:25 PM.
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10-01-2013, 04:24 PM #15
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I've since gotten 2x BM & mael opening one at a time
~600 gems on individual chests.