link to the google document spreadsheet
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...mVTMDBXcDJMT3c
How does the drop rate decrease with the number of Diamond/Emerald..etc increases?
Should I reset with gold or open with gold or both?
Hopefully Alice's data will be useful of players who want the end event items so much. Alice is lucky enough to get 4 end event items without gold and 3 complete log of those 4 events won. Alice will also do a comparison with pure gold openings (Thanks to AppleMacGuy for his records). The result is interesting.
According to the table below, the first thing surprised me is: Average drop rate of gold options and cash options are so close, while average drop rate on successful cash opens are about two times of the gold options. All my 3 event logs proved this. Which means...if you use gold to open, your drop rate of event currency is lower than successful cash opens!
It seems unfair but, let's think this way: give the same amount of gold, player A uses gold to open, got items on every try, player B uses gold to reset timer, and use cash to open, got only half number of items than A. Since player B invested both gold and in game cash plus got less items, the event currency drop rate is increased as a compensation.
The problem is: end event items are way too important than anything else and anybody have more than enough in game cash to spend. I believe everyone wants to trade cash/junk items for end event items.
Based on my data, I believe gold players should only reset timers and use in game cash to open. Continues fail does happen, but bad luck will not last forever. (My Event 5, 6.25% rate for the second credit card)
Event 7 Alice && AppleMacGuy
+-------+----+--------+----+--------++----+--------+
| Docu. | Tr | TrRate | Op | OpRate || Gd | GdRate |
+-------+----+--------+----+--------++----+--------+
| 01/10 | 07 | 14.29% | 03 | 33.33% || 01 | 100.0% |
| 02/10 | 02 | 50.00% | 01 | 100.0% || 02 | 50.00% |
| 03/10 | 01 | 100.0% | 01 | 100.0% || 01 | 100.0% |
| 04/10 | 03 | 33.33% | 01 | 100.0% || 03 | 33.33% |
| 05/10 | 01 | 100.0% | 01 | 100.0% || 07 | 14.29% |
| 06/10 | 05 | 20.00% | 03 | 33.33% || 03 | 33.33% |
| 07/10 | 08 | 12.50% | 05 | 20.00% || 13 | 7.692% |
| 08/10 | 01 | 100.0% | 01 | 100.0% || 15 | 6.667% |
| 09/10 | 06 | 16.67% | 03 | 33.33% || 01 | 100.0% |
| 10/10 | 44 | 2.273% | 22 | 4.545% || 48 | 2.083% |
+-------+----+--------+----+--------++----+--------+
Alice:
Total cash tries 78, successful opens 41
Average Secret Document drop rate: 12.82%
Average Secret Document drop rate on successful opens: 24.39%
AppleMacGuy:
Total gold tries 94
Average Secret Document drop rate 10.64%
Event 5 Alice
+-------+----+--------+----+--------+
| Cards | Tr | TrRate | Op | OpRate |
+-------+----+--------+----+--------+
| 01/10 | 02 | 50.00% | 01 | 100.0% |
| 02/10 | 16 | 6.250% | 02 | 50.00% |
| 03/10 | 01 | 100.0% | 01 | 100.0% |
| 04/10 | 04 | 25.00% | 01 | 100.0% |
| 05/10 | 07 | 14.28% | 02 | 50.00% |
| 06/10 | 02 | 50.00% | 02 | 50.00% |
| 07/10 | 08 | 12.50% | 03 | 33.33% |
| 08/10 | 04 | 25.00% | 01 | 100.0% |
| 09/10 | 62 | 1.613% | 25 | 4.000% |
| 10/10 | 21 | 4.762% | 10 | 10.00% |
+-------+----+--------+----+--------+
Total cash tries 127, successful opens 48
Average Credit Card drop rate: 7.874%
Average Credit Card drop rate on successful opens: 20.83%
Event 4 Alice
+-------+----+--------+----+--------+
| Pend. | Tr | TrRate | Op | OpRate |
+-------+----+--------+----+--------+
| 01/10 | 02 | 50.00% | 01 | 100.0% |
| 02/10 | 02 | 50.00% | 01 | 100.0% |
| 03/10 | 01 | 100.0% | 01 | 100.0% |
| 04/10 | 01 | 100.0% | 01 | 100.0% |
| 05/10 | 01 | 100.0% | 01 | 100.0% |
| 06/10 | 01 | 100.0% | 01 | 100.0% |
| 07/10 | 08 | 12.50% | 03 | 33.33% |
| 08/10 | 18 | 5.556% | 11 | 9.091% |
| 09/10 | 03 | 33.33% | 03 | 33.33% |
| 10/10 | 53 | 1.887% | 30 | 18.87% |
+-------+----+--------+----+--------+
Total cash tries 90, successful opens 53
Average Diamond Pendant drop rate: 11.11%
Average Diamond Pendant drop rate on successful opens: 18.87%