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You are wrong in saying that n choose x only works in situations where there is memory. I am assuming each event is an independent (or is a memoryless) Bernoulli trial with a binomial distribution. I...

I give everyone here a lot of respect for trying to calculate the odds. I'm new to this game, so I'm not sure exactly how this event works.

But If you are trying to calculate the odds of getting...

Well, I've had a lot of luck at the Fish Cannery at The Docks. About 1/5 chances I get one. Thanks for all of the info, it was very helpful.

Thanks guys, but I'm only lvl 20. I'll try attacking a variety of places and I'll let you know.

I was wondering where you guys have found the best places to get coffers are. I've been doing jobs on Canal St. to minimize the amount of energy spent, but I might be shooting myself in the foot....