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View Full Version : New crate weirdness?



zwiswoo
02-06-2013, 08:59 AM
I spent two vaults on the new crates (yeah) and got 51 items. Given 10% rare and 20% uncommon, I'd expect to see about 5 rare and 10 uncommon items on average. Instead I got seven uncommons and only one (!) rare.

Obviously that doesn't mean there's a bug somewhere - if a hundred people buy crates with vaults you'd expect someone to get such outcomes - but I'd hold off on buying the new crates till more people report "normal" behavior.

MathieuG89
02-06-2013, 09:28 AM
I'm not surprised, last crates we've had I bought 32 total and got the following

0 Rare
9 Uncommon
23 Common

I'm not spending a cent on crates anymore.

Facasca
02-06-2013, 09:46 AM
First attempt!!

http://i1160.photobucket.com/albums/q482/Facasca/1B2F3413-DC58-4438-B6B2-9746AD104919-326-000000515DBDE505.jpg

zwiswoo
02-06-2013, 10:00 AM
I'm not surprised, last crates we've had I bought 32 total and got the following

0 Rare
9 Uncommon
23 Common

I'm not spending a cent on crates anymore.

- I'd be really interested in seeing the stats for people who bought crates recently, particularly with this last update. (e.g. maybe Gree screwed up some probability value in the last update) It was quite annoying to do crate after crate, and it was all commons, including (repeatedly) crates containing only the damn Enforcer Guard shoes.
- Maybe it's just that it's so much better than the garbage I got just now, but 23 commons out of 32 is about what you'd expect. The rare vs uncommon division is lousy, but at least they sum to the expected ~30%.

NTM
02-06-2013, 10:11 AM
First attempt!!

http://i1160.photobucket.com/albums/q482/Facasca/1B2F3413-DC58-4438-B6B2-9746AD104919-326-000000515DBDE505.jpg

and ? ..... don't flam other cuz u got one time luck..

last crate same i take 4 packs and i got only 1 rare and not the best rare..

i don't buy crate again :)

Paulio
02-06-2013, 10:38 AM
The crates are pretty random and anyone who has purchased in bulk has had a string of bad luck. When I get a set of commons, I stop opening, then come back later and try again. Whatever you do, don't rage open.

Tommy Two Toes
02-06-2013, 10:49 AM
A roulette wheel can never produce a black number 20 times in a row! (Last words of many a novice on probablity).

Paulio
02-06-2013, 10:53 AM
A roulette wheel can never produce a black number 20 times in a row! (Last words of many a novice on probablity).

Lol, too funny.

Coldjoey
02-06-2013, 02:57 PM
It used to. Be said if you delete app and reload before you buy creates you are more likely to get better items. Someone bought ten sets, deleted and reloaded after each set bought and got 12 rare items. It's good to have both time and money.

Boom
02-06-2013, 04:10 PM
and ? ..... don't flam other cuz u got one time luck..

last crate same i take 4 packs and i got only 1 rare and not the best rare..

i don't buy crate again :)Wtf lol........

Ramshutu
02-06-2013, 04:20 PM
You have an increased chance on rares if you buy henchmen first.

cooch
02-06-2013, 04:24 PM
You have an increased chance on rares if you buy henchmen first.

Even better if you buy the company:p

Shizzy
02-06-2013, 06:52 PM
I would like to know what the rare% is for the first crate a user ever purchases? I bet it is much higher than 10% to hook the new buyer. I have purchased 8 triple crates all together and have received 2 rares, diamond basher being the last one. more often than not I get triple common.

Plumbernick9
02-06-2013, 06:58 PM
The crates are pretty random and anyone who has purchased in bulk has had a string of bad luck. When I get a set of commons, I stop opening, then come back later and try again. Whatever you do, don't rage open.

100% agree with you on the rage opening. It has happened to me, and wish I could take it back.

Kleptomaniac
02-07-2013, 04:47 AM
I spent two vaults on the new crates (yeah) and got 51 items. Given 10% rare and 20% uncommon, I'd expect to see about 5 rare and 10 uncommon items on average. Instead I got seven uncommons and only one (!) rare.

Obviously that doesn't mean there's a bug somewhere - if a hundred people buy crates with vaults you'd expect someone to get such outcomes - but I'd hold off on buying the new crates till more people report "normal" behavior.

That's unlucky I spent 1300 yesterday (before the gold spenders started -_-) and got 4 rare n today another 2100 n got another 5 rare last crates I spent 2300 gold n got 4 rare was more lucky this time

Sam @
02-07-2013, 04:58 AM
It's random, sometimes I get a bunch of rares and sometimes none! In the long run if you open say 50-100 crates, the numbers will add up.

Facasca
02-07-2013, 06:42 AM
Bad lucky for u!!!


and ? ..... don't flam other cuz u got one time luck..

last crate same i take 4 packs and i got only 1 rare and not the best rare..

i don't buy crate again :)

Slipperpuss
02-07-2013, 09:24 AM
I'm tempted to spend a bob of gold on these crates but I'd probably get screwed as I got some fairly decent openings on the last set ;)

Butt Futter
02-08-2013, 11:37 AM
I always have bad luck when opening up crates and boss events. I swear my common item rate is at least 98%.

Jstaa
02-08-2013, 12:47 PM
2 vaults is $200 right? Im sorry but why would any of you ever spend money on an app?