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(MS13)TURKISHTIGER
09-21-2012, 07:43 PM
rare art paintings event

3/10 item drop rate is 90%
5/10 item drop rate is 80%
7/10 item drop rate is 50%
9/10 item drop rate is 25%
10/10 item drop rate is 5%


e.g to reach to the 3rd loot item all ur openings will have a 90% chance of getting a rare painting.

bigflan
09-21-2012, 07:45 PM
% of getting 10 is 1.4% why am I even bothering


Added on ignore list

(MS13)TURKISHTIGER
09-21-2012, 11:00 PM
how the **** wouold u know u cow

PawnXIIX
09-21-2012, 11:03 PM
How were these calculated?

10/10 is much lower than 5% that's a guarantee. Then there'd be on average 20 opens to get the 10th item, then a 99.7% chance that it happens at the 60th open on 9/10...and there's been people opening over 80 crates at 9/10 items and still not get the prize ever :/

mxz
09-22-2012, 07:31 AM
I'm pretty sure your sample size isn't large enough to substantiate this. It's also done server-side so please don't claim you have data on it.

Ramshutu
09-22-2012, 07:37 AM
I added up everyone's success rates on a previous event, and worked out a rate of 2% for the last item.

nopenopenope
09-22-2012, 10:17 AM
Just.Go.Away.

daystardawg
09-22-2012, 10:24 AM
all i know is i got to 8 pieces within 36 hours using half/half cash/gold. havent gotten the 9th piece yet 36-48 hours later.

OZTHEMAN
09-22-2012, 10:39 AM
I have tried the method of using payment and have reach 8.. they have given me a good few items on the way but today I have received nothing in 8 attempts so far.. but paying 8700 is a price worth paying if not then i will have to buy some gold... Will gold also not work as it did not in the last event they just gave me a few odd bits to keep me happy but not the real item.. I am desperate for this...

Lonestoner
09-22-2012, 02:12 PM
Also been stuck at 8 for over 24 hours now, along with my roommate.

Walter
09-22-2012, 02:36 PM
I was stuck on 7 for 36 hours. Have gotten 4 since. Keep at it! Sometimes you luck out, sometimes not. Back when these were the only events, as a free player you'd hope to get 9, and occasionally someone would get a 10th.

Ramshutu
09-22-2012, 03:04 PM
I got from 7 to 10 in 6 opens :)

(MS13)TURKISHTIGER
09-22-2012, 09:50 PM
theres alot of people stuk on 8,including me,, ive sent out a tiket but lol i dont think they willreply to it cause its prettty funny and fuked up msg heehe

Ty1on
09-22-2012, 09:52 PM
theres alot of people stuk on 8,including me,, ive sent out a tiket but lol i dont think they willreply to it cause its prettty funny and fuked up msg heehe

Like this one??

(MS13)TURKISHTIGER
09-22-2012, 10:02 PM
like which one?