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jinqs
05-05-2012, 07:11 AM
Based on my experiences and from reading people's logs on the forums, it seems to me like the Screwdriver has about a 50% probability to work. Does the match other people's experiences? Does anyone know if the probability goes down as you get more documents/get farther into the event or is it consistent?

Sasha54
05-05-2012, 07:14 AM
Based on my experiences and from reading people's logs on the forums, it seems to me like the Screwdriver has about a 50% probability to work. Does the match other people's experiences? Does anyone know if the probability goes down as you get more documents/get farther into the event or is it consistent?

At first couple of tries can be 100%- I got 3 documents in a row I think

It decreases over time - I have 7 now and that could be it for me based on the last event.

jinqs
05-05-2012, 07:18 AM
At first couple of tries can be 100%- I got 3 documents in a row I think

It decreases over time - I have 7 now and that could be it for me based on the last event.
I'm talking about the probability of the screwdriver successfully opening the container, not of getting the loot item.

I'm assuming that drop probability is the same from an open regardless of whether it's from gold or cash.

Joeycool
05-05-2012, 07:57 AM
From experience in all events, for me, the chances of opening with the middle cash option is about 4 in 10. So about a 40% chance of opening.

Feng1234
05-05-2012, 08:09 AM
So far I probably opens only 4 in about 30 tries. It's actually quite crap

Fig Oni
05-05-2012, 09:03 AM
On this event I've been getting around 75% success rate on the middle option had very few fails.

But on the last event it was around 30% success on middle option.

Still on 8 documents but been getting loot, cash & respect so in truth I'm very happy still.

Steve0
05-05-2012, 11:18 AM
25-30 % for me on all events. Even this one.

erik
05-05-2012, 11:21 AM
+1 JC - When I was mapping the first 3 events, I was hitting around 40% (2nd seemed like they had lowered it, and then back up). It may have been tweaked since then however.